Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Luck point through the Divisional Playoffs

by Bruce D

No luck, no win this past weekend for the top 2 lucky teams.

Total team luck points through the play-offs(week 19):

Luck is tracked to better analyze a team's true ability and to help predict results of upcoming games where some may not know what portion of a team's record and points performance was due to just luck.

For a more in-depth explanation of what "luck" points are, go to a previous post here.

Points for(+) the unlucky team, are the same amount of points against(-) the lucky team, and are valued as follows:

punts blocked=3
interceptions=2.5
fumbles lost=2.5
field goal miss/block=2.5
punt returns for a TD=4.5
ko returns for a TD=4.5

Team luck points = (bad luck points)-(good luck points), so negative numbers are the luckiest.





















SeasonTeamAll SeasonLast 2 GamesLast Game
2010 nwe   -87   0
2010 atl   -44   .5
2010 pit   -38   0
2010 bal   -34.5 -7.5 0
2010 gnb   -25.5 -7.5 -.5
2010 phi   -22 2.5  
2010 nyj   -19.5 2.5 0
2010 chi   -19   2.5
2010 kan   -7 7.5  
2010 ind   -3.5 -2.5  
2010 sea   8 -2.5 -2.5
2010 nor   15 0  



The 2 luckiest teams this season(New England and Atlanta) just couldn't win without their usual "luck".

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