MRE - Measure of Random Events through week 4

by Bruce D

MRE = (good luck points)-(bad luck points), so positive numbers are the luckiest teams.

For a more in-depth explanation of what "luck" points are, go to a previous post here.

If random events can't be repeated, then past points due to MRE can NOT be considered as being due to skill. Likewise, past performance due to MRE can't be included in analyzing future performance. In a nutshell, "lucky" teams can't be expected to be so "lucky", and "unlucky" teams are better than we may think.

Points for(+) the lucky team, are the same amount of points against(-) the unlucky team.

MRE is valued as follows:

punts blocked=3
interceptions=2.5
fumbles lost=2.5
field goal miss/block=2.5
punt returns for a TD=4.5
ko returns for a TD=4.5

Team	All Season	Last 2 Games	Last Game
ARI	-3	-7.5	0
ATL	5	5	7.5
BAL	10.5	-4.5	-2
BUF	17.5	10	5
CAR	-16.5	-7	-9.5
CHI	14.5	9.5	9.5
CIN	-5	-12.5	-5
CLE	5	5	0
DAL	-13	-2.5	-5
DEN	-13	-5	-5
DET	22.5	5	5
GB	15	5	5
HOU	22	7.5	5
IND	-2	5	-2.5
JAC	2.5	5	7.5
KC	-20	2.5	2.5
MIA	-17.5	-10	-5
MIN	4.5	-2.5	-2.5
NO	-12.5	-10	-7.5
NE	7.5	0	5
NYG	10	7.5	0
NYJ	7.5	-3	2
OAK	3	0	-5
PHI	-15	-12.5	-5
PIT	-32.5	-12.5	-5
SD	-12	5	5
SEA	-14	0	-7.5
SF	34	12.5	5
STL	0	5	2.5
TB	2.5	5	2.5
TEN	0	0	0
WAS	-7.5	-5	-2.5